Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on August 7, 2026, establish a minimum temperature of 29°C as the near-certain outcome, driving market-implied odds to 100% for that threshold. Recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows stabilized near this level under light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with typical early-August climatology where daily minima rarely dip below 26–28°C absent significant frontal passage or heavy rainfall. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from authoritative monitoring networks. An unexpected late-day cooling surge from a passing disturbance or station-specific measurement variance could still alter the recorded low, though current model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日上海最低溫度？
8月7日上海最低溫度？
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$17,827 交易量
$17,827 交易量
2026-08-07
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$17,827 交易量
$17,827 交易量
2026-08-07
23°C或以下
$392 交易量
否
24°C
$316 交易量
否
25°C
$583 交易量
否
26°C
$1,455 交易量
否
27°C
$2,147 交易量
否
28°C
$3,758 交易量
否
29°C
$5,611 交易量
是
30°C
$2,554 交易量
否
31°C
$358 交易量
否
32°C
$331 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$321 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on August 7, 2026, establish a minimum temperature of 29°C as the near-certain outcome, driving market-implied odds to 100% for that threshold. Recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows stabilized near this level under light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with typical early-August climatology where daily minima rarely dip below 26–28°C absent significant frontal passage or heavy rainfall. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from authoritative monitoring networks. An unexpected late-day cooling surge from a passing disturbance or station-specific measurement variance could still alter the recorded low, though current model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,827結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on August 7, 2026, establish a minimum temperature of 29°C as the near-certain outcome, driving market-implied odds to 100% for that threshold. Recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows stabilized near this level under light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with typical early-August climatology where daily minima rarely dip below 26–28°C absent significant frontal passage or heavy rainfall. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from authoritative monitoring networks. An unexpected late-day cooling surge from a passing disturbance or station-specific measurement variance could still alter the recorded low, though current model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,827結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on August 7, 2026, establish a minimum temperature of 29°C as the near-certain outcome, driving market-implied odds to 100% for that threshold. Recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows stabilized near this level under light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with typical early-August climatology where daily minima rarely dip below 26–28°C absent significant frontal passage or heavy rainfall. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from authoritative monitoring networks. An unexpected late-day cooling surge from a passing disturbance or station-specific measurement variance could still alter the recorded low, though current model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions