Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 5, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects support daytime peaks around 29–31°C, while ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight uncertainty from variable moisture transport and timing of any convective activity. Trader sentiment clusters on 29°C and 30°C because these align with the most probable outcomes given current steering patterns and historical analogs for early-August conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow range of plausible deviations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日東京氣溫最高？
8月5日東京氣溫最高？
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
31°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
30%
31°C
19%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
31°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
25°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$305 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
13%
29°C
$23 交易量
33%
30°C
$5 交易量
30%
31°C
$5 交易量
19%
32°C
$5 交易量
11%
33°C
$6 交易量
3%
34°C
$25 交易量
3%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 5, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects support daytime peaks around 29–31°C, while ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight uncertainty from variable moisture transport and timing of any convective activity. Trader sentiment clusters on 29°C and 30°C because these align with the most probable outcomes given current steering patterns and historical analogs for early-August conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow range of plausible deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$374結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 5, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects support daytime peaks around 29–31°C, while ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight uncertainty from variable moisture transport and timing of any convective activity. Trader sentiment clusters on 29°C and 30°C because these align with the most probable outcomes given current steering patterns and historical analogs for early-August conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow range of plausible deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$374結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 5, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near the long-term normal of 31.8°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects support daytime peaks around 29–31°C, while ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight uncertainty from variable moisture transport and timing of any convective activity. Trader sentiment clusters on 29°C and 30°C because these align with the most probable outcomes given current steering patterns and historical analogs for early-August conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow range of plausible deviations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions