Recent weather model guidance points to a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 5, shaped by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors introduce variable cloud cover that can limit daytime solar heating while also trapping heat overnight, keeping overnight lows elevated and supporting modest daytime peaks. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional moisture transport further moderate extremes, reducing the chance of reaching 34°C or higher. Trader consensus around the 31–33°C range reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh model updates expected to clarify whether increased convection or clearer breaks will shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日深圳最高溫度？
8月5日深圳最高溫度？
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 16%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
27°C or below
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
16%
32°C
38%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 16%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
27°C or below
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$20 交易量
9%
29°C
$99 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
16%
32°C
$20 交易量
38%
33°C
$0 交易量
31%
34°C
$0 交易量
9%
35°C
$1,111 交易量
4%
36°C
$22 交易量
6%
37°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model guidance points to a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 5, shaped by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors introduce variable cloud cover that can limit daytime solar heating while also trapping heat overnight, keeping overnight lows elevated and supporting modest daytime peaks. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional moisture transport further moderate extremes, reducing the chance of reaching 34°C or higher. Trader consensus around the 31–33°C range reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh model updates expected to clarify whether increased convection or clearer breaks will shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$1,272結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model guidance points to a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 5, shaped by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors introduce variable cloud cover that can limit daytime solar heating while also trapping heat overnight, keeping overnight lows elevated and supporting modest daytime peaks. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional moisture transport further moderate extremes, reducing the chance of reaching 34°C or higher. Trader consensus around the 31–33°C range reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh model updates expected to clarify whether increased convection or clearer breaks will shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,272結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent weather model guidance points to a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 5, shaped by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors introduce variable cloud cover that can limit daytime solar heating while also trapping heat overnight, keeping overnight lows elevated and supporting modest daytime peaks. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional moisture transport further moderate extremes, reducing the chance of reaching 34°C or higher. Trader consensus around the 31–33°C range reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh model updates expected to clarify whether increased convection or clearer breaks will shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions