Current Met Office forecasts position 27°C as the most probable daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and increasing sunshine from a southerly air mass, which supports the market's 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern England has run 2–3°C above the long-term average this summer, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 27°C, though small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1°C. Nearby days illustrate the warming trend, with 26°C favored for August 1 and higher values possible later in the week as conditions turn very warm and humid. Traders appear to weight these official model consensus and observed seasonal anomalies heavily in positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
27°C 55%
26°C 26%
28°C 15%
25°C 7%
最新
$39,963 交易量
最新
$39,963 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
55%
28°C
15%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 26%
28°C 15%
25°C 7%
最新
$39,963 交易量
最新
$39,963 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C or below
$739 交易量
<1%
23°C
$562 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,471 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,339 交易量
7%
26°C
$8,849 交易量
26%
27°C
$7,936 交易量
55%
28°C
$2,150 交易量
15%
29°C
$2,775 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,660 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,323 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,157 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts position 27°C as the most probable daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and increasing sunshine from a southerly air mass, which supports the market's 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern England has run 2–3°C above the long-term average this summer, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 27°C, though small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1°C. Nearby days illustrate the warming trend, with 26°C favored for August 1 and higher values possible later in the week as conditions turn very warm and humid. Traders appear to weight these official model consensus and observed seasonal anomalies heavily in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$39,963結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts position 27°C as the most probable daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and increasing sunshine from a southerly air mass, which supports the market's 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern England has run 2–3°C above the long-term average this summer, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 27°C, though small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1°C. Nearby days illustrate the warming trend, with 26°C favored for August 1 and higher values possible later in the week as conditions turn very warm and humid. Traders appear to weight these official model consensus and observed seasonal anomalies heavily in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,963結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent Met Office forecasts position 27°C as the most probable daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and increasing sunshine from a southerly air mass, which supports the market's 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern England has run 2–3°C above the long-term average this summer, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 27°C, though small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1°C. Nearby days illustrate the warming trend, with 26°C favored for August 1 and higher values possible later in the week as conditions turn very warm and humid. Traders appear to weight these official model consensus and observed seasonal anomalies heavily in positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions