Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that supports maximum temperatures near 34–36°C for Qingdao on August 3. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable low-level winds introduce modest uncertainty, with onshore flow potentially capping peaks closer to 34°C while drier offshore patterns allow brief excursions toward 36°C. Historical August climatology averages around 29–30°C, making this setup an above-normal episode driven by the ridge's position and minimal precipitation. Traders' tight clustering between 34°C and 35°C reflects model consensus tempered by ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and humidity, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日青島氣溫最高?
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C或以上 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
33%
36°C
22%
37°C或以上
12%
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C或以上 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
33%
36°C
22%
37°C或以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yellow Sea region, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that supports maximum temperatures near 34–36°C for Qingdao on August 3. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable low-level winds introduce modest uncertainty, with onshore flow potentially capping peaks closer to 34°C while drier offshore patterns allow brief excursions toward 36°C. Historical August climatology averages around 29–30°C, making this setup an above-normal episode driven by the ridge's position and minimal precipitation. Traders' tight clustering between 34°C and 35°C reflects model consensus tempered by ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and humidity, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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