Recent short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty around peak daytime heating in coastal Shandong, where Qingdao’s marine influence typically caps highs near 30–32 °C yet allows brief spikes when weak high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum between 35 °C and 36 °C on 2 August, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and local wind direction separating those two outcomes. Historical early-August climatology supports values near 29 °C, but recent warm anomalies across the Yellow Sea have elevated trader-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold and shift probabilities accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日青島氣溫最高？
8月2日青島氣溫最高？
36°C 39%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
12%
35°C
32%
36°C
39%
37°C
17%
38°C或以上
4%
36°C 39%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
28°C或以下
$345 交易量
<1%
29°C
$355 交易量
<1%
30°C
$360 交易量
<1%
31°C
$141 交易量
1%
32°C
$62 交易量
1%
33°C
$536 交易量
2%
34°C
$356 交易量
12%
35°C
$204 交易量
32%
36°C
$115 交易量
39%
37°C
$187 交易量
17%
38°C或以上
$253 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty around peak daytime heating in coastal Shandong, where Qingdao’s marine influence typically caps highs near 30–32 °C yet allows brief spikes when weak high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum between 35 °C and 36 °C on 2 August, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and local wind direction separating those two outcomes. Historical early-August climatology supports values near 29 °C, but recent warm anomalies across the Yellow Sea have elevated trader-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold and shift probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,913結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty around peak daytime heating in coastal Shandong, where Qingdao’s marine influence typically caps highs near 30–32 °C yet allows brief spikes when weak high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum between 35 °C and 36 °C on 2 August, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and local wind direction separating those two outcomes. Historical early-August climatology supports values near 29 °C, but recent warm anomalies across the Yellow Sea have elevated trader-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold and shift probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,913結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty around peak daytime heating in coastal Shandong, where Qingdao’s marine influence typically caps highs near 30–32 °C yet allows brief spikes when weak high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes. Ensemble guidance places the most likely maximum between 35 °C and 36 °C on 2 August, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and local wind direction separating those two outcomes. Historical early-August climatology supports values near 29 °C, but recent warm anomalies across the Yellow Sea have elevated trader-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold and shift probabilities accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions