Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu, are anchoring trader sentiment around a 25°C minimum in Tokyo on August 2. Long-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal outlooks indicate persistent warm air aloft and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 24–26°C and current model consensus showing no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent data releases reinforce above-average conditions through early August, with minimal day-to-day variability expected in the absence of fresh observational shifts from monitoring agencies. This setup positions 25°C as the highest-probability outcome while allowing modest probability for 24°C or 26°C should short-term model runs adjust.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日東京最低溫度？
8月2日東京最低溫度？
25°C 68%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
28°C 4.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
61%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 68%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
28°C 4.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$112 交易量
<1%
21°C
$202 交易量
<1%
22°C
$117 交易量
<1%
23°C
$217 交易量
1%
24°C
$291 交易量
12%
25°C
$859 交易量
61%
26°C
$932 交易量
16%
27°C
$231 交易量
5%
28°C
$157 交易量
5%
29°C
$197 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$162 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu, are anchoring trader sentiment around a 25°C minimum in Tokyo on August 2. Long-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal outlooks indicate persistent warm air aloft and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 24–26°C and current model consensus showing no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent data releases reinforce above-average conditions through early August, with minimal day-to-day variability expected in the absence of fresh observational shifts from monitoring agencies. This setup positions 25°C as the highest-probability outcome while allowing modest probability for 24°C or 26°C should short-term model runs adjust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,478結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu, are anchoring trader sentiment around a 25°C minimum in Tokyo on August 2. Long-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal outlooks indicate persistent warm air aloft and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 24–26°C and current model consensus showing no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent data releases reinforce above-average conditions through early August, with minimal day-to-day variability expected in the absence of fresh observational shifts from monitoring agencies. This setup positions 25°C as the highest-probability outcome while allowing modest probability for 24°C or 26°C should short-term model runs adjust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,478結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbove-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu, are anchoring trader sentiment around a 25°C minimum in Tokyo on August 2. Long-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal outlooks indicate persistent warm air aloft and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 24–26°C and current model consensus showing no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent data releases reinforce above-average conditions through early August, with minimal day-to-day variability expected in the absence of fresh observational shifts from monitoring agencies. This setup positions 25°C as the highest-probability outcome while allowing modest probability for 24°C or 26°C should short-term model runs adjust.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions