Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日巴黎最低溫度？
8月3日巴黎最低溫度？
20°C 32%
19°C 31%
21°C 23%
17°C或以下 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
17°C或以下
15%
18°C
13%
19°C
31%
20°C
32%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
10%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
1%
20°C 32%
19°C 31%
21°C 23%
17°C或以下 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
17°C或以下
$29 交易量
15%
18°C
$65 交易量
13%
19°C
$0 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
32%
21°C
$0 交易量
23%
22°C
$0 交易量
9%
23°C
$0 交易量
10%
24°C
$276 交易量
7%
25°C
$175 交易量
2%
26°C
$32 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$577結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$577結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions