Current forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei reaching 36°C today, driven by typical summer heat, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that align closely with ensemble model consensus. This strong scientific alignment—consistent with August climatological baselines of 32–34°C highs but elevated by current atmospheric conditions—underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 36°C as the daily maximum. Minor variations in measurement timing or localized effects could theoretically shift the official reading, though recent data releases show minimal divergence across models.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日臺北氣溫最高？
8月1日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$92,477 交易量
$92,477 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$92,477 交易量
$92,477 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
$3,813 交易量
No
30°C
$1,660 交易量
No
31°C
$549 交易量
No
32°C
$1,364 交易量
No
33°C
$4,873 交易量
No
34°C
$16,992 交易量
No
35°C
$16,103 交易量
No
36°C
$16,019 交易量
Yes
37°C
$13,874 交易量
No
38°C
$10,399 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$6,831 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei reaching 36°C today, driven by typical summer heat, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that align closely with ensemble model consensus. This strong scientific alignment—consistent with August climatological baselines of 32–34°C highs but elevated by current atmospheric conditions—underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 36°C as the daily maximum. Minor variations in measurement timing or localized effects could theoretically shift the official reading, though recent data releases show minimal divergence across models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$92,477結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei reaching 36°C today, driven by typical summer heat, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that align closely with ensemble model consensus. This strong scientific alignment—consistent with August climatological baselines of 32–34°C highs but elevated by current atmospheric conditions—underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 36°C as the daily maximum. Minor variations in measurement timing or localized effects could theoretically shift the official reading, though recent data releases show minimal divergence across models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,477結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei reaching 36°C today, driven by typical summer heat, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that align closely with ensemble model consensus. This strong scientific alignment—consistent with August climatological baselines of 32–34°C highs but elevated by current atmospheric conditions—underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 36°C as the daily maximum. Minor variations in measurement timing or localized effects could theoretically shift the official reading, though recent data releases show minimal divergence across models.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions