The market's unanimous 100% consensus on a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official weather stations, including those operated by Météo-France, which recorded overnight lows consistent with this value under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early August. Historical climatology shows Paris August minima averaging near 15–16°C, but recent model guidance and real-time surface observations aligned precisely with 17°C as the daily low, eliminating uncertainty around measurement timing or urban heat-island effects. Trader confidence stems from the fact that temperature records are finalized quickly from standardized instruments with minimal revision risk. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome would involve an unforeseen post-event data quality audit or station-specific anomaly, both of which are exceedingly rare for routine daily minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日巴黎最低溫度？
8月1日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$10,140 交易量
$10,140 交易量
2026-08-01
16°C或以下
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$10,140 交易量
$10,140 交易量
2026-08-01
16°C或以下
$2,333 交易量
否
17°C
$3,029 交易量
是
18°C
$883 交易量
否
19°C
$459 交易量
否
20°C
$301 交易量
否
21°C
$434 交易量
否
22°C
$345 交易量
否
23°C
$1,343 交易量
否
24°C
$339 交易量
否
25°C
$333 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$342 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's unanimous 100% consensus on a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official weather stations, including those operated by Météo-France, which recorded overnight lows consistent with this value under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early August. Historical climatology shows Paris August minima averaging near 15–16°C, but recent model guidance and real-time surface observations aligned precisely with 17°C as the daily low, eliminating uncertainty around measurement timing or urban heat-island effects. Trader confidence stems from the fact that temperature records are finalized quickly from standardized instruments with minimal revision risk. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome would involve an unforeseen post-event data quality audit or station-specific anomaly, both of which are exceedingly rare for routine daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,140結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's unanimous 100% consensus on a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official weather stations, including those operated by Météo-France, which recorded overnight lows consistent with this value under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early August. Historical climatology shows Paris August minima averaging near 15–16°C, but recent model guidance and real-time surface observations aligned precisely with 17°C as the daily low, eliminating uncertainty around measurement timing or urban heat-island effects. Trader confidence stems from the fact that temperature records are finalized quickly from standardized instruments with minimal revision risk. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome would involve an unforeseen post-event data quality audit or station-specific anomaly, both of which are exceedingly rare for routine daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,140結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's unanimous 100% consensus on a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official weather stations, including those operated by Météo-France, which recorded overnight lows consistent with this value under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early August. Historical climatology shows Paris August minima averaging near 15–16°C, but recent model guidance and real-time surface observations aligned precisely with 17°C as the daily low, eliminating uncertainty around measurement timing or urban heat-island effects. Trader confidence stems from the fact that temperature records are finalized quickly from standardized instruments with minimal revision risk. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome would involve an unforeseen post-event data quality audit or station-specific anomaly, both of which are exceedingly rare for routine daily minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions