Recent weak monsoon currents across Sindh, combined with below-normal rainfall forecasts for early August 2026, form the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Karachi’s August 4 high. Reduced cloud cover allows greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from multi-model ensembles support modest upward pressure on daytime maxima. Persistent Arabian Sea moisture and typical sea-breeze circulation, however, introduce cooling that caps extremes and creates forecast spread among models. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in local convection and wind speed keeps the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
8月4日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
35°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
40%
34°C
34%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
35°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$210 交易量
<1%
28°C
$120 交易量
<1%
29°C
$120 交易量
1%
30°C
$135 交易量
3%
31°C
$135 交易量
4%
32°C
$272 交易量
23%
33°C
$322 交易量
40%
34°C
$307 交易量
34%
35°C
$135 交易量
5%
36°C
$23 交易量
3%
37°C或更高
$115 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak monsoon currents across Sindh, combined with below-normal rainfall forecasts for early August 2026, form the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Karachi’s August 4 high. Reduced cloud cover allows greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from multi-model ensembles support modest upward pressure on daytime maxima. Persistent Arabian Sea moisture and typical sea-breeze circulation, however, introduce cooling that caps extremes and creates forecast spread among models. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in local convection and wind speed keeps the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,896結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak monsoon currents across Sindh, combined with below-normal rainfall forecasts for early August 2026, form the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Karachi’s August 4 high. Reduced cloud cover allows greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from multi-model ensembles support modest upward pressure on daytime maxima. Persistent Arabian Sea moisture and typical sea-breeze circulation, however, introduce cooling that caps extremes and creates forecast spread among models. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in local convection and wind speed keeps the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,896結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent weak monsoon currents across Sindh, combined with below-normal rainfall forecasts for early August 2026, form the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Karachi’s August 4 high. Reduced cloud cover allows greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from multi-model ensembles support modest upward pressure on daytime maxima. Persistent Arabian Sea moisture and typical sea-breeze circulation, however, introduce cooling that caps extremes and creates forecast spread among models. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in local convection and wind speed keeps the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions