Recent weather models for Guangzhou point to a daily high near 30°C on August 2, 2026, as widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasters note typical August conditions feature highs of 32–33°C under clearer skies, yet the current pattern favors scattered showers that reduce solar radiation and evaporative cooling, narrowing the likely range to 29–32°C. Humidity near 80 percent and light winds further constrain extreme values, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 30–32°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether stronger convection develops before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日廣州最高溫度?
29°C 29%
31°C 28%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
28%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
29°C 29%
31°C 28%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
28%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather models for Guangzhou point to a daily high near 30°C on August 2, 2026, as widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasters note typical August conditions feature highs of 32–33°C under clearer skies, yet the current pattern favors scattered showers that reduce solar radiation and evaporative cooling, narrowing the likely range to 29–32°C. Humidity near 80 percent and light winds further constrain extreme values, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 30–32°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether stronger convection develops before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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