Ensemble forecasts from major models cluster tightly around 22–24°C for Cape Town’s maximum on August 2, 2026, driving the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Recent extended outlooks note a warming trend with fine conditions and potential 25°C readings as the South Atlantic High promotes clearer skies and reduced marine influence over the Western Cape. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and the precise strength of northerly warm advection versus the typical winter south-easterly flow. Historical August highs average near 18°C, so any realization near 24–25°C would reflect a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance on August 1–2 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日開普敦最高溫度？
8月2日開普敦最高溫度？
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
30%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$551 交易量
4%
21°C
$242 交易量
7%
22°C
$436 交易量
10%
23°C
$313 交易量
29%
24°C
$265 交易量
30%
25°C
$494 交易量
18%
26°C
$630 交易量
6%
27°C
$93 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$125 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models cluster tightly around 22–24°C for Cape Town’s maximum on August 2, 2026, driving the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Recent extended outlooks note a warming trend with fine conditions and potential 25°C readings as the South Atlantic High promotes clearer skies and reduced marine influence over the Western Cape. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and the precise strength of northerly warm advection versus the typical winter south-easterly flow. Historical August highs average near 18°C, so any realization near 24–25°C would reflect a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance on August 1–2 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,331結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models cluster tightly around 22–24°C for Cape Town’s maximum on August 2, 2026, driving the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Recent extended outlooks note a warming trend with fine conditions and potential 25°C readings as the South Atlantic High promotes clearer skies and reduced marine influence over the Western Cape. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and the precise strength of northerly warm advection versus the typical winter south-easterly flow. Historical August highs average near 18°C, so any realization near 24–25°C would reflect a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance on August 1–2 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,331結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from major models cluster tightly around 22–24°C for Cape Town’s maximum on August 2, 2026, driving the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Recent extended outlooks note a warming trend with fine conditions and potential 25°C readings as the South Atlantic High promotes clearer skies and reduced marine influence over the Western Cape. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and the precise strength of northerly warm advection versus the typical winter south-easterly flow. Historical August highs average near 18°C, so any realization near 24–25°C would reflect a modest positive anomaly. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance on August 1–2 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions