Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms tied to the East Asian summer monsoon will moderate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 3, favoring 28–30 °C outcomes that together command over 70% of market-implied probability. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31–32 °C highs, while the exact maximum hinges on the timing and intensity of convective activity. Model spreads arise from variations in projected rainfall onset and wind patterns, introducing genuine uncertainty that keeps the top three bins closely bunched. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日深圳最高溫度？
8月3日深圳最高溫度？
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
$333 交易量
<1%
24°C
$353 交易量
1%
25°C
$116 交易量
2%
26°C
$30 交易量
4%
27°C
$24 交易量
11%
28°C
$27 交易量
26%
29°C
$21 交易量
32%
30°C
$37 交易量
22%
31°C
$40 交易量
9%
32°C
$41 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$45 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms tied to the East Asian summer monsoon will moderate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 3, favoring 28–30 °C outcomes that together command over 70% of market-implied probability. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31–32 °C highs, while the exact maximum hinges on the timing and intensity of convective activity. Model spreads arise from variations in projected rainfall onset and wind patterns, introducing genuine uncertainty that keeps the top three bins closely bunched. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,068結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms tied to the East Asian summer monsoon will moderate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 3, favoring 28–30 °C outcomes that together command over 70% of market-implied probability. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31–32 °C highs, while the exact maximum hinges on the timing and intensity of convective activity. Model spreads arise from variations in projected rainfall onset and wind patterns, introducing genuine uncertainty that keeps the top three bins closely bunched. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,068結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms tied to the East Asian summer monsoon will moderate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 3, favoring 28–30 °C outcomes that together command over 70% of market-implied probability. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31–32 °C highs, while the exact maximum hinges on the timing and intensity of convective activity. Model spreads arise from variations in projected rainfall onset and wind patterns, introducing genuine uncertainty that keeps the top three bins closely bunched. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions