Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 1, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and typical early-August humidity levels. This alignment drives the market-implied odds toward 32°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with observed morning temperatures climbing from the mid-20s and historical climatology showing peak highs in this range absent strong synoptic changes. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified model runs rather than speculation. Realistic challenges include shifts in sea-breeze timing, an incoming trough enhancing cooling, or unexpected subsidence that could push readings above 34°C before official station measurements finalize at day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$132,047 交易量
$132,047 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$132,047 交易量
$132,047 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 1, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and typical early-August humidity levels. This alignment drives the market-implied odds toward 32°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with observed morning temperatures climbing from the mid-20s and historical climatology showing peak highs in this range absent strong synoptic changes. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified model runs rather than speculation. Realistic challenges include shifts in sea-breeze timing, an incoming trough enhancing cooling, or unexpected subsidence that could push readings above 34°C before official station measurements finalize at day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions