Continued heatwave conditions across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration projecting daytime maxima of 31–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 2 amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds, anchor trader consensus around the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and regional high-pressure patterns sustain elevated temperatures without extreme intensification, aligning with early-August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C. Model consensus from KMA and international forecasters shows limited spread, though any shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 43%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
$15,872 交易量
$15,872 交易量
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 43%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
$15,872 交易量
$15,872 交易量
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Continued heatwave conditions across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration projecting daytime maxima of 31–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 2 amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds, anchor trader consensus around the 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Persistent summer humidity and regional high-pressure patterns sustain elevated temperatures without extreme intensification, aligning with early-August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C. Model consensus from KMA and international forecasters shows limited spread, though any shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions