Traders overwhelmingly favor 27°C as the lowest temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 2, driven by consistent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating limited overnight radiative cooling under prevailing high-pressure and humid summer conditions. Current observational data show daytime highs near seasonal norms, with minimal wind and cloud cover patterns that historically stabilize nighttime lows around this threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations; only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or frontal passage could shift the minimum lower, though model consensus shows low probability for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
8月2日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$25,237 交易量
$25,237 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$25,237 交易量
$25,237 交易量
2026-08-02
22°C或以下
$398 交易量
否
23°C
$574 交易量
否
24°C
$1,358 交易量
否
25°C
$2,627 交易量
否
26°C
$3,343 交易量
否
27°C
$5,077 交易量
是
28°C
$11,042 交易量
否
29°C
$245 交易量
否
30°C
$186 交易量
否
31°C
$111 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$276 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 27°C as the lowest temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 2, driven by consistent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating limited overnight radiative cooling under prevailing high-pressure and humid summer conditions. Current observational data show daytime highs near seasonal norms, with minimal wind and cloud cover patterns that historically stabilize nighttime lows around this threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations; only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or frontal passage could shift the minimum lower, though model consensus shows low probability for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$25,237結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 27°C as the lowest temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 2, driven by consistent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating limited overnight radiative cooling under prevailing high-pressure and humid summer conditions. Current observational data show daytime highs near seasonal norms, with minimal wind and cloud cover patterns that historically stabilize nighttime lows around this threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations; only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or frontal passage could shift the minimum lower, though model consensus shows low probability for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,237結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders overwhelmingly favor 27°C as the lowest temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 2, driven by consistent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating limited overnight radiative cooling under prevailing high-pressure and humid summer conditions. Current observational data show daytime highs near seasonal norms, with minimal wind and cloud cover patterns that historically stabilize nighttime lows around this threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations; only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or frontal passage could shift the minimum lower, though model consensus shows low probability for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions