Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日上海最高溫度？
8月1日上海最高溫度？
36°C 38%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
20%
36°C
38%
37°C
31%
38°C
11%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
31°C or below
$84 交易量
<1%
32°C
$216 交易量
1%
33°C
$108 交易量
2%
34°C
$280 交易量
4%
35°C
$328 交易量
20%
36°C
$182 交易量
38%
37°C
$173 交易量
31%
38°C
$167 交易量
11%
39°C
$127 交易量
4%
40°C
$121 交易量
2%
41°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,805結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,805結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions