Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs position 22–24 °C as the most probable range for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 1, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 23 °C (35.5 %). Typical early-August climatology features highs near 22–23 °C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence, with limited diurnal warming expected from lingering marine air. No significant ridge or heat advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping the chance of 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band of short-range guidance—where small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the peak by 1–2 °C—against the historical rarity of extremes this early in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月1日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
23°C 35%
24°C 34%
22°C 18%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
18%
23°C
35%
24°C
34%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 35%
24°C 34%
22°C 18%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
20°C或以下
$64 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$86 交易量
35%
24°C
$0 交易量
34%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$5 交易量
5%
27°C
$13 交易量
3%
28°C
$20 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs position 22–24 °C as the most probable range for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 1, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 23 °C (35.5 %). Typical early-August climatology features highs near 22–23 °C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence, with limited diurnal warming expected from lingering marine air. No significant ridge or heat advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping the chance of 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band of short-range guidance—where small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the peak by 1–2 °C—against the historical rarity of extremes this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$188結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs position 22–24 °C as the most probable range for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 1, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 23 °C (35.5 %). Typical early-August climatology features highs near 22–23 °C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence, with limited diurnal warming expected from lingering marine air. No significant ridge or heat advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping the chance of 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band of short-range guidance—where small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the peak by 1–2 °C—against the historical rarity of extremes this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$188結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ECMWF and KNMI model runs position 22–24 °C as the most probable range for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 1, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 23 °C (35.5 %). Typical early-August climatology features highs near 22–23 °C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence, with limited diurnal warming expected from lingering marine air. No significant ridge or heat advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping the chance of 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band of short-range guidance—where small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can alter the peak by 1–2 °C—against the historical rarity of extremes this early in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions