Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月1日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
33°C 30%
32°C 29%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
18%
32°C
29%
33°C
30%
34°C
14%
35°C
10%
36°C
6%
37°C或以上
3%
33°C 30%
32°C 29%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$443 交易量
1%
29°C
$42 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
29%
33°C
$0 交易量
30%
34°C
$0 交易量
14%
35°C
$0 交易量
10%
36°C
$13 交易量
6%
37°C或以上
$10 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$508結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$508結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTraders see closely matched odds for 31–33°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 1 because short-range ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability driven by southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Official climatology places early-August normals near 31–32°C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Recent sea-surface temperature patterns in the western Pacific and neutral ENSO phase support typical convective activity without strong steering influences from tropical cyclones. Updated model runs from PAGASA and global centers over the next 48 hours, plus any revisions to local wind and humidity forecasts, will likely determine whether the market tilts toward the 32°C or 33°C bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions