Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1 amid widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit surface heating despite the subtropical climate's seasonal peak, where August averages reach 32°C. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture influx, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift outcomes if rainfall timing or intensity changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日深圳最高溫度？
8月1日深圳最高溫度？
28°C 33%
27°C 27%
29°C 23%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
33%
29°C
23%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
28°C 33%
27°C 27%
29°C 23%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
23°C或以下
$1,629 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$224 交易量
2%
26°C
$76 交易量
5%
27°C
$1,235 交易量
27%
28°C
$187 交易量
33%
29°C
$45 交易量
23%
30°C
$69 交易量
11%
31°C
$234 交易量
5%
32°C
$42 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$235 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1 amid widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit surface heating despite the subtropical climate's seasonal peak, where August averages reach 32°C. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture influx, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift outcomes if rainfall timing or intensity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,987結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1 amid widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit surface heating despite the subtropical climate's seasonal peak, where August averages reach 32°C. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture influx, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift outcomes if rainfall timing or intensity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,987結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1 amid widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit surface heating despite the subtropical climate's seasonal peak, where August averages reach 32°C. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and moisture influx, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift outcomes if rainfall timing or intensity changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions