Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate an overnight low near 28°C on August 3, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and persistent urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance and historical climatology align closely with this value, showing average August minima of 26–28°C and recent observations confirming stable warm nights without anomalous drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong alignment of official model runs, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Minor shifts could arise from localized convective activity or updated observational data by resolution time, though such changes appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日上海最低溫度？
8月3日上海最低溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,089 交易量
$15,089 交易量
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,089 交易量
$15,089 交易量
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
$432 交易量
否
23°C
$577 交易量
否
24°C
$695 交易量
否
25°C
$1,346 交易量
否
26°C
$1,073 交易量
否
27°C
$2,048 交易量
否
28°C
$4,524 交易量
是
29°C
$1,078 交易量
否
30°C
$2,355 交易量
否
31°C
$476 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$485 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate an overnight low near 28°C on August 3, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and persistent urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance and historical climatology align closely with this value, showing average August minima of 26–28°C and recent observations confirming stable warm nights without anomalous drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong alignment of official model runs, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Minor shifts could arise from localized convective activity or updated observational data by resolution time, though such changes appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,089結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate an overnight low near 28°C on August 3, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and persistent urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance and historical climatology align closely with this value, showing average August minima of 26–28°C and recent observations confirming stable warm nights without anomalous drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong alignment of official model runs, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Minor shifts could arise from localized convective activity or updated observational data by resolution time, though such changes appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,089結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate an overnight low near 28°C on August 3, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and persistent urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance and historical climatology align closely with this value, showing average August minima of 26–28°C and recent observations confirming stable warm nights without anomalous drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong alignment of official model runs, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Minor shifts could arise from localized convective activity or updated observational data by resolution time, though such changes appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions