Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日上海最低溫度？
8月22日上海最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,313 交易量
$37,313 交易量
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,313 交易量
$37,313 交易量
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
$1,757 交易量
否
23°C
$2,366 交易量
否
24°C
$2,789 交易量
否
25°C
$4,113 交易量
否
26°C
$8,313 交易量
是
27°C
$9,936 交易量
否
28°C
$5,527 交易量
否
29°C
$374 交易量
否
30°C
$816 交易量
否
31°C
$531 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$792 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$37,313結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,313結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions