Current short-range European model guidance positions Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 26–27 °C under a moderate high-pressure regime featuring light easterly flow, reduced marine cooling from the North Sea, and ample insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable steering patterns and minimal cloud-cover variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two bins while assigning low weight to 28 °C or higher outcomes. Slight differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any weak frontal passage; updated KNMI and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine the final distribution before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
26°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 16%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 16%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
21°C或以下
$369 交易量
<1%
22°C
$440 交易量
<1%
23°C
$523 交易量
<1%
24°C
$551 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,181 交易量
16%
26°C
$815 交易量
38%
27°C
$860 交易量
38%
28°C
$1,802 交易量
7%
29°C
$493 交易量
2%
30°C
$460 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$405 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range European model guidance positions Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 26–27 °C under a moderate high-pressure regime featuring light easterly flow, reduced marine cooling from the North Sea, and ample insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable steering patterns and minimal cloud-cover variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two bins while assigning low weight to 28 °C or higher outcomes. Slight differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any weak frontal passage; updated KNMI and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,900結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range European model guidance positions Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 26–27 °C under a moderate high-pressure regime featuring light easterly flow, reduced marine cooling from the North Sea, and ample insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable steering patterns and minimal cloud-cover variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two bins while assigning low weight to 28 °C or higher outcomes. Slight differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any weak frontal passage; updated KNMI and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,900結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent short-range European model guidance positions Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 26–27 °C under a moderate high-pressure regime featuring light easterly flow, reduced marine cooling from the North Sea, and ample insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable steering patterns and minimal cloud-cover variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two bins while assigning low weight to 28 °C or higher outcomes. Slight differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any weak frontal passage; updated KNMI and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine the final distribution before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions