Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw point to a daytime maximum near 25–26°C on August 2, aligning with the tight market spread between those two outcomes. Summer anticyclonic conditions and above-average regional temperatures have supported modest warming, while variable cloud cover and light northerly flow from the Baltic introduce small cooling potential. Historical August highs average 23–26°C, with day-to-day swings of 3–4°C common due to frontal passages or diurnal heating differences. Official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could tip the result between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日華沙的最高溫度？
8月2日華沙的最高溫度？
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
18%
25°C
37%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C或更高
4%
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
18°C或以下
$133 交易量
<1%
19°C
$213 交易量
<1%
20°C
$254 交易量
<1%
21°C
$422 交易量
1%
22°C
$10 交易量
2%
23°C
$260 交易量
6%
24°C
$411 交易量
18%
25°C
$282 交易量
37%
26°C
$268 交易量
28%
27°C
$224 交易量
10%
28°C或更高
$958 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw point to a daytime maximum near 25–26°C on August 2, aligning with the tight market spread between those two outcomes. Summer anticyclonic conditions and above-average regional temperatures have supported modest warming, while variable cloud cover and light northerly flow from the Baltic introduce small cooling potential. Historical August highs average 23–26°C, with day-to-day swings of 3–4°C common due to frontal passages or diurnal heating differences. Official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could tip the result between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,434結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw point to a daytime maximum near 25–26°C on August 2, aligning with the tight market spread between those two outcomes. Summer anticyclonic conditions and above-average regional temperatures have supported modest warming, while variable cloud cover and light northerly flow from the Baltic introduce small cooling potential. Historical August highs average 23–26°C, with day-to-day swings of 3–4°C common due to frontal passages or diurnal heating differences. Official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could tip the result between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,434結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast model runs for Warsaw point to a daytime maximum near 25–26°C on August 2, aligning with the tight market spread between those two outcomes. Summer anticyclonic conditions and above-average regional temperatures have supported modest warming, while variable cloud cover and light northerly flow from the Baltic introduce small cooling potential. Historical August highs average 23–26°C, with day-to-day swings of 3–4°C common due to frontal passages or diurnal heating differences. Official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could tip the result between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions