Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum in Wuhan on August 2 near 36–37°C, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and efficient surface heating amid typical August humidity levels around 70–80%. Historical climatology shows August averages of 32–34°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, yet subtle differences in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat retention can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains balanced between these outcomes because ensemble spreads in operational models still encompass both thresholds, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration measurements at the primary urban station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日武漢氣溫最高？
8月2日武漢氣溫最高？
36°C 41%
37°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
41%
37°C
34%
38°C
16%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
31°C或以下
$260 交易量
<1%
32°C
$243 交易量
<1%
33°C
$487 交易量
<1%
34°C
$367 交易量
3%
35°C
$459 交易量
10%
36°C
$1,454 交易量
41%
37°C
$583 交易量
34%
38°C
$331 交易量
16%
39°C
$219 交易量
3%
40°C
$246 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$262 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum in Wuhan on August 2 near 36–37°C, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and efficient surface heating amid typical August humidity levels around 70–80%. Historical climatology shows August averages of 32–34°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, yet subtle differences in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat retention can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains balanced between these outcomes because ensemble spreads in operational models still encompass both thresholds, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration measurements at the primary urban station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,912結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum in Wuhan on August 2 near 36–37°C, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and efficient surface heating amid typical August humidity levels around 70–80%. Historical climatology shows August averages of 32–34°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, yet subtle differences in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat retention can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains balanced between these outcomes because ensemble spreads in operational models still encompass both thresholds, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration measurements at the primary urban station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,912結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum in Wuhan on August 2 near 36–37°C, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and efficient surface heating amid typical August humidity levels around 70–80%. Historical climatology shows August averages of 32–34°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, yet subtle differences in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat retention can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains balanced between these outcomes because ensemble spreads in operational models still encompass both thresholds, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration measurements at the primary urban station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions