Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, driven by above-average warmth persisting into early August. The Climate Prediction Center’s July outlook assigned a 40–50% probability of above-normal temperatures across the NYC region, consistent with current guidance showing overnight lows near 71–74°F amid elevated dew points and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This scientific context underpins the market’s leading 74–75°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain possible only if a stronger nocturnal boundary layer develops or model guidance shifts cooler in the final runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月2日紐約市的最低溫度？
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 15%
78-79°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或以上
1%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 15%
78-79°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
華氏63度或以下
$47 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$50 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$62 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$39 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$15 交易量
8%
72-73°F
$43 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$38 交易量
49%
76-77°F
$39 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$40 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$47 交易量
1%
82°F或以上
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, driven by above-average warmth persisting into early August. The Climate Prediction Center’s July outlook assigned a 40–50% probability of above-normal temperatures across the NYC region, consistent with current guidance showing overnight lows near 71–74°F amid elevated dew points and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This scientific context underpins the market’s leading 74–75°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain possible only if a stronger nocturnal boundary layer develops or model guidance shifts cooler in the final runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$436結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, driven by above-average warmth persisting into early August. The Climate Prediction Center’s July outlook assigned a 40–50% probability of above-normal temperatures across the NYC region, consistent with current guidance showing overnight lows near 71–74°F amid elevated dew points and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This scientific context underpins the market’s leading 74–75°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain possible only if a stronger nocturnal boundary layer develops or model guidance shifts cooler in the final runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$436結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, driven by above-average warmth persisting into early August. The Climate Prediction Center’s July outlook assigned a 40–50% probability of above-normal temperatures across the NYC region, consistent with current guidance showing overnight lows near 71–74°F amid elevated dew points and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This scientific context underpins the market’s leading 74–75°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain possible only if a stronger nocturnal boundary layer develops or model guidance shifts cooler in the final runs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions