Current forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather points to overnight lows of 78–82°F for Miami on August 2, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling and scattered thunderstorms moderating temperatures. This aligns with historical August averages near 78–80°F and recent model runs showing no strong cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns. Trader positioning favors the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and minimal variability expected in the final forecast updates. New NWS guidance and local observations tonight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月2日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81華氏度 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
69°F 或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
25%
80-81華氏度
41%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
1%
80-81華氏度 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
69°F 或以下
$73 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$93 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$128 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$115 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$48 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$87 交易量
25%
80-81華氏度
$245 交易量
41%
82-83°F
$176 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$136 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$67 交易量
1%
88°F或以上
$487 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather points to overnight lows of 78–82°F for Miami on August 2, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling and scattered thunderstorms moderating temperatures. This aligns with historical August averages near 78–80°F and recent model runs showing no strong cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns. Trader positioning favors the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and minimal variability expected in the final forecast updates. New NWS guidance and local observations tonight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,651結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather points to overnight lows of 78–82°F for Miami on August 2, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling and scattered thunderstorms moderating temperatures. This aligns with historical August averages near 78–80°F and recent model runs showing no strong cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns. Trader positioning favors the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and minimal variability expected in the final forecast updates. New NWS guidance and local observations tonight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,651結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather points to overnight lows of 78–82°F for Miami on August 2, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling and scattered thunderstorms moderating temperatures. This aligns with historical August averages near 78–80°F and recent model runs showing no strong cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns. Trader positioning favors the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and minimal variability expected in the final forecast updates. New NWS guidance and local observations tonight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions