Recent forecast updates from official meteorological sources project a high of 33°C or lower in Chongqing on August 2, primarily due to increased cloud cover, light rain, and atmospheric moisture limiting daytime solar heating in the city's subtropical basin environment. These conditions align with historical August patterns where precipitation often moderates peaks below seasonal averages of 32–35°C, though model consensus carries typical uncertainty from evolving steering patterns or localized heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or below, incorporates this near-term data alongside the low odds for extremes above 35°C, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日重慶氣溫最高?
33°C or below 73%
34°C 19%
35°C 7%
36°C 2%
$24,876 交易量
$24,876 交易量
33°C or below
73%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或以上
<1%
33°C or below 73%
34°C 19%
35°C 7%
36°C 2%
$24,876 交易量
$24,876 交易量
33°C or below
73%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from official meteorological sources project a high of 33°C or lower in Chongqing on August 2, primarily due to increased cloud cover, light rain, and atmospheric moisture limiting daytime solar heating in the city's subtropical basin environment. These conditions align with historical August patterns where precipitation often moderates peaks below seasonal averages of 32–35°C, though model consensus carries typical uncertainty from evolving steering patterns or localized heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C or below, incorporates this near-term data alongside the low odds for extremes above 35°C, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions