Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on July 31 because official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations show the daily maximum stabilizing near this value amid typical summer monsoon conditions with light winds and high humidity limiting further warming. Recent model runs from global ensembles align closely with these measurements, reflecting minimal diurnal temperature range under prevailing cloud cover and consistent with historical July baselines for the Sichuan Basin. While the market-implied odds reflect strong evidence-based agreement, an unlikely revision in final quality-controlled data or an unforecasted late-day heat burst could theoretically alter the outcome before official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日成都最高溫度？
7月31日成都最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,379 交易量
$111,379 交易量
2026-07-31
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,379 交易量
$111,379 交易量
2026-07-31
23°C或以下
$2,461 交易量
否
24°C
$2,132 交易量
否
25°C
$5,700 交易量
否
26°C
$31,244 交易量
否
27°C
$11,175 交易量
是
28°C
$11,360 交易量
否
29°C
$10,947 交易量
否
30°C
$8,850 交易量
否
31°C
$4,644 交易量
否
32°C
$9,309 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$13,557 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on July 31 because official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations show the daily maximum stabilizing near this value amid typical summer monsoon conditions with light winds and high humidity limiting further warming. Recent model runs from global ensembles align closely with these measurements, reflecting minimal diurnal temperature range under prevailing cloud cover and consistent with historical July baselines for the Sichuan Basin. While the market-implied odds reflect strong evidence-based agreement, an unlikely revision in final quality-controlled data or an unforecasted late-day heat burst could theoretically alter the outcome before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$111,379結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on July 31 because official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations show the daily maximum stabilizing near this value amid typical summer monsoon conditions with light winds and high humidity limiting further warming. Recent model runs from global ensembles align closely with these measurements, reflecting minimal diurnal temperature range under prevailing cloud cover and consistent with historical July baselines for the Sichuan Basin. While the market-implied odds reflect strong evidence-based agreement, an unlikely revision in final quality-controlled data or an unforecasted late-day heat burst could theoretically alter the outcome before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111,379結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on July 31 because official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations show the daily maximum stabilizing near this value amid typical summer monsoon conditions with light winds and high humidity limiting further warming. Recent model runs from global ensembles align closely with these measurements, reflecting minimal diurnal temperature range under prevailing cloud cover and consistent with historical July baselines for the Sichuan Basin. While the market-implied odds reflect strong evidence-based agreement, an unlikely revision in final quality-controlled data or an unforecasted late-day heat burst could theoretically alter the outcome before official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions