Weather forecasts for August 9 rely on numerical models from NOAA, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and national meteorological services, which integrate satellite data, radar, and surface observations to predict precipitation probability, intensity, and location. Two days ahead, consensus is generally reliable for broad patterns but carries uncertainty from rapid changes in moisture transport, frontal boundaries, or convective activity, especially in monsoon-influenced regions like South Asia or West Africa. Recent model runs highlight potential for scattered showers tied to seasonal circulation features, with historical August baselines showing variable rain probabilities across urban centers. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads from the Climate Prediction Center will provide the next key data releases, helping traders assess resolution criteria around measurable rainfall thresholds at specific sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日會在哪裡下雨？
8月9日會在哪裡下雨？
新加坡
49%
雅加達
51%
孟買
50%
馬尼拉
50%
東京
49%
拉各斯
50%
曼谷
50%
香港
51%
首爾（仁川）
50%
台北
49%
科倫坡
50%
達卡
50%
吉隆坡
50%
倫敦
49%
杜拜
26%
聖保羅
50%
雪梨
50%
$3 交易量
新加坡
49%
雅加達
51%
孟買
50%
馬尼拉
50%
東京
49%
拉各斯
50%
曼谷
50%
香港
51%
首爾（仁川）
50%
台北
49%
科倫坡
50%
達卡
50%
吉隆坡
50%
倫敦
49%
杜拜
26%
聖保羅
50%
雪梨
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Weather forecasts for August 9 rely on numerical models from NOAA, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and national meteorological services, which integrate satellite data, radar, and surface observations to predict precipitation probability, intensity, and location. Two days ahead, consensus is generally reliable for broad patterns but carries uncertainty from rapid changes in moisture transport, frontal boundaries, or convective activity, especially in monsoon-influenced regions like South Asia or West Africa. Recent model runs highlight potential for scattered showers tied to seasonal circulation features, with historical August baselines showing variable rain probabilities across urban centers. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads from the Climate Prediction Center will provide the next key data releases, helping traders assess resolution criteria around measurable rainfall thresholds at specific sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions