Beijing's peak summer heat, driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects, sets the stage for daily highs near 33–36°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies showing modest cooling potential tied to the Liqiu solar term onset around August 7–9. Recent short-range forecasts highlight variable thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover that could cap maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while humidity levels above 70% influence perceived and measured extremes. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C because ensemble runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, with historical early-August analogs rarely exceeding 38°C before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日北京最高溫度？
8月7日北京最高溫度？
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
37°C 21%
38°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
13%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
21%
38°C
15%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C或以上
2%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
37°C 21%
38°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
31°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
32°C
$387 交易量
3%
33°C
$23 交易量
3%
34°C
$2 交易量
13%
35°C
$0 交易量
27%
36°C
$0 交易量
26%
37°C
$10 交易量
21%
38°C
$44 交易量
15%
39°C
$15 交易量
4%
40°C
$0 交易量
2%
41°C或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's peak summer heat, driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects, sets the stage for daily highs near 33–36°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies showing modest cooling potential tied to the Liqiu solar term onset around August 7–9. Recent short-range forecasts highlight variable thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover that could cap maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while humidity levels above 70% influence perceived and measured extremes. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C because ensemble runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, with historical early-August analogs rarely exceeding 38°C before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's peak summer heat, driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects, sets the stage for daily highs near 33–36°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies showing modest cooling potential tied to the Liqiu solar term onset around August 7–9. Recent short-range forecasts highlight variable thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover that could cap maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while humidity levels above 70% influence perceived and measured extremes. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C because ensemble runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, with historical early-August analogs rarely exceeding 38°C before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETBeijing's peak summer heat, driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects, sets the stage for daily highs near 33–36°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies showing modest cooling potential tied to the Liqiu solar term onset around August 7–9. Recent short-range forecasts highlight variable thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover that could cap maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while humidity levels above 70% influence perceived and measured extremes. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C because ensemble runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, with historical early-August analogs rarely exceeding 38°C before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions