Current forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 7 will most likely fall between 35°C and 37°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly monsoon flows are advecting warm, moist Pacific air over the region, with urban heat island effects in Busan potentially amplifying daytime maxima. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, sea breeze onset, and boundary layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble runs in the coming 48 hours will provide clearer signals on whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日釜山的最高溫度?
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 27%
34°C 12%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
34%
37°C
27%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40℃
2%
41°C或以上
1%
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 27%
34°C 12%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
34%
37°C
27%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40℃
2%
41°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 7 will most likely fall between 35°C and 37°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly monsoon flows are advecting warm, moist Pacific air over the region, with urban heat island effects in Busan potentially amplifying daytime maxima. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, sea breeze onset, and boundary layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble runs in the coming 48 hours will provide clearer signals on whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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