Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a stable high-pressure pattern over southern Ontario, supporting daytime highs near 26–28 °C for Toronto on August 4. Southerly flow is expected to advect modestly warmer air while limited cloud cover allows typical August solar heating without triggering extreme instability. These conditions align with historical early-August normals around 26–27 °C at Pearson Airport and explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on 27 °C (49.5 %) and 28 °C (23.5 %). Updated short-range forecasts show no incoming cold front or significant moisture to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution narrow and reducing odds for outcomes below 26 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the designated station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月4日多倫多氣溫最高？
27°C 50%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
50%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 50%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
$134 交易量
<1%
22°C
$159 交易量
<1%
23°C
$100 交易量
1%
24°C
$132 交易量
1%
25°C
$294 交易量
6%
26°C
$468 交易量
16%
27°C
$486 交易量
50%
28°C
$154 交易量
23%
29°C
$102 交易量
6%
30°C
$193 交易量
2%
31°C或以上
$109 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a stable high-pressure pattern over southern Ontario, supporting daytime highs near 26–28 °C for Toronto on August 4. Southerly flow is expected to advect modestly warmer air while limited cloud cover allows typical August solar heating without triggering extreme instability. These conditions align with historical early-August normals around 26–27 °C at Pearson Airport and explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on 27 °C (49.5 %) and 28 °C (23.5 %). Updated short-range forecasts show no incoming cold front or significant moisture to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution narrow and reducing odds for outcomes below 26 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,330結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a stable high-pressure pattern over southern Ontario, supporting daytime highs near 26–28 °C for Toronto on August 4. Southerly flow is expected to advect modestly warmer air while limited cloud cover allows typical August solar heating without triggering extreme instability. These conditions align with historical early-August normals around 26–27 °C at Pearson Airport and explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on 27 °C (49.5 %) and 28 °C (23.5 %). Updated short-range forecasts show no incoming cold front or significant moisture to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution narrow and reducing odds for outcomes below 26 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,330結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent model guidance from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a stable high-pressure pattern over southern Ontario, supporting daytime highs near 26–28 °C for Toronto on August 4. Southerly flow is expected to advect modestly warmer air while limited cloud cover allows typical August solar heating without triggering extreme instability. These conditions align with historical early-August normals around 26–27 °C at Pearson Airport and explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on 27 °C (49.5 %) and 28 °C (23.5 %). Updated short-range forecasts show no incoming cold front or significant moisture to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution narrow and reducing odds for outcomes below 26 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the designated station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions