Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum near 26°C in Toronto on August 3, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and typical mid-summer humidity levels. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing limited diurnal warming potential and no significant warm-air advection or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings notably higher. Historical climatology for early August places average highs around 25–27°C at Pearson Airport, providing context for why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 25–27°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer details and any late-day cloud cover that could cap the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日多倫多氣溫最高?
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 23%
28°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 23%
28°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum near 26°C in Toronto on August 3, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and typical mid-summer humidity levels. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing limited diurnal warming potential and no significant warm-air advection or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings notably higher. Historical climatology for early August places average highs around 25–27°C at Pearson Airport, providing context for why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 25–27°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer details and any late-day cloud cover that could cap the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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