Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月3日邁阿密的最高溫度？
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 36%
88-89°F 11%
華氏94-95度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
36%
華氏94-95度
9%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 36%
88-89°F 11%
華氏94-95度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏81度或以下
$72 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$583 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$97 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$208 交易量
3%
88-89°F
$50 交易量
11%
90-91°F
$80 交易量
43%
92-93°F
$106 交易量
36%
華氏94-95度
$1,203 交易量
9%
96-97°F
$275 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$80 交易量
<1%
100°F或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,791結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,791結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions