Forecast models from the National Weather Service and commercial sources indicate an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and cloud cover limit radiative cooling in Miami's subtropical summer regime, where climatological August lows average near 78°F but recent patterns have trended 1–3°F warmer. Sea-breeze moderation and elevated dew points further support this narrow range over cooler outcomes like 78–79°F (22.5%). No unusual synoptic features such as dry-air intrusions or cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities, leaving the market-implied odds consistent with current ensemble guidance and historical analogs for early August conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月3日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
76-77°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
67°F或以下
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
76-77°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
67°F或以下
$243 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$338 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$235 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$265 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$330 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$136 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$278 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$181 交易量
42%
82-83°F
$376 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$1,887 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$556 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and commercial sources indicate an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and cloud cover limit radiative cooling in Miami's subtropical summer regime, where climatological August lows average near 78°F but recent patterns have trended 1–3°F warmer. Sea-breeze moderation and elevated dew points further support this narrow range over cooler outcomes like 78–79°F (22.5%). No unusual synoptic features such as dry-air intrusions or cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities, leaving the market-implied odds consistent with current ensemble guidance and historical analogs for early August conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$4,827結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and commercial sources indicate an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and cloud cover limit radiative cooling in Miami's subtropical summer regime, where climatological August lows average near 78°F but recent patterns have trended 1–3°F warmer. Sea-breeze moderation and elevated dew points further support this narrow range over cooler outcomes like 78–79°F (22.5%). No unusual synoptic features such as dry-air intrusions or cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities, leaving the market-implied odds consistent with current ensemble guidance and historical analogs for early August conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,827結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and commercial sources indicate an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and cloud cover limit radiative cooling in Miami's subtropical summer regime, where climatological August lows average near 78°F but recent patterns have trended 1–3°F warmer. Sea-breeze moderation and elevated dew points further support this narrow range over cooler outcomes like 78–79°F (22.5%). No unusual synoptic features such as dry-air intrusions or cold fronts have emerged to shift probabilities, leaving the market-implied odds consistent with current ensemble guidance and historical analogs for early August conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions