Traders are positioning 16°C as the most likely daily high in Wellington on August 3 due to typical mid-winter conditions in New Zealand, where average August maxima hover near 13–15°C. Short-range forecast guidance from agencies like MetService indicates a transient ridge of high pressure favoring light northerly flows that could lift temperatures a degree or two above seasonal norms, while any strengthening southerly change would cap readings closer to 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with minimal risk of extremes given stable sea-surface temperatures around the region and no strong blocking patterns. Upcoming model runs and official guidance updates will refine whether a brief warmer spell materializes or cooler maritime air dominates, keeping the tight clustering around 15–17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月3日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 21%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
34%
16°C
44%
17°C
21%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 21%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
10°C or below
$553 交易量
<1%
11°C
$508 交易量
<1%
12°C
$599 交易量
<1%
13°C
$607 交易量
<1%
14°C
$866 交易量
5%
15°C
$1,779 交易量
34%
16°C
$1,822 交易量
44%
17°C
$1,588 交易量
21%
18°C
$22 交易量
2%
19°C
$502 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning 16°C as the most likely daily high in Wellington on August 3 due to typical mid-winter conditions in New Zealand, where average August maxima hover near 13–15°C. Short-range forecast guidance from agencies like MetService indicates a transient ridge of high pressure favoring light northerly flows that could lift temperatures a degree or two above seasonal norms, while any strengthening southerly change would cap readings closer to 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with minimal risk of extremes given stable sea-surface temperatures around the region and no strong blocking patterns. Upcoming model runs and official guidance updates will refine whether a brief warmer spell materializes or cooler maritime air dominates, keeping the tight clustering around 15–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,851結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning 16°C as the most likely daily high in Wellington on August 3 due to typical mid-winter conditions in New Zealand, where average August maxima hover near 13–15°C. Short-range forecast guidance from agencies like MetService indicates a transient ridge of high pressure favoring light northerly flows that could lift temperatures a degree or two above seasonal norms, while any strengthening southerly change would cap readings closer to 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with minimal risk of extremes given stable sea-surface temperatures around the region and no strong blocking patterns. Upcoming model runs and official guidance updates will refine whether a brief warmer spell materializes or cooler maritime air dominates, keeping the tight clustering around 15–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,851結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTraders are positioning 16°C as the most likely daily high in Wellington on August 3 due to typical mid-winter conditions in New Zealand, where average August maxima hover near 13–15°C. Short-range forecast guidance from agencies like MetService indicates a transient ridge of high pressure favoring light northerly flows that could lift temperatures a degree or two above seasonal norms, while any strengthening southerly change would cap readings closer to 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with minimal risk of extremes given stable sea-surface temperatures around the region and no strong blocking patterns. Upcoming model runs and official guidance updates will refine whether a brief warmer spell materializes or cooler maritime air dominates, keeping the tight clustering around 15–17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions