Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a highest temperature near 29–30°C on August 5 amid 60–90% chances of scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms driven by easterlies and localized convection during the southwest monsoon season. These conditions introduce substantial day-to-day variability, as thick cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak solar heating and limit afternoon temperature rises compared with clearer periods. Historical August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–31°C, but active monsoon patterns often cap readings 1–3°C lower when rainfall develops. Traders have therefore clustered around the closely matched 28–29°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity within official model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 38%
28°C 36%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
36%
29°C
38%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C或更高
9%
29°C 38%
28°C 36%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
36%
29°C
38%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C或更高
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a highest temperature near 29–30°C on August 5 amid 60–90% chances of scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms driven by easterlies and localized convection during the southwest monsoon season. These conditions introduce substantial day-to-day variability, as thick cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak solar heating and limit afternoon temperature rises compared with clearer periods. Historical August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–31°C, but active monsoon patterns often cap readings 1–3°C lower when rainfall develops. Traders have therefore clustered around the closely matched 28–29°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity within official model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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