Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Paris minimum temperatures on August 5 most likely settling near 19–20 °C, driving the combined 63.5 % implied probability on those two bins. A broad high-pressure ridge is expected to promote radiational cooling under partly clear skies while limiting advection of cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in these variables can easily move the minimum between 18 °C and 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical Paris lows in this range, so current trader consensus largely reflects model agreement rather than an unusual signal. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next high-resolution guidance ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C or below 95%
20°C 35%
19°C 25%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
95%
17°C
12%
18°C
16%
19°C
25%
20°C
35%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
16%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 95%
20°C 35%
19°C 25%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$32 交易量
95%
17°C
$11 交易量
12%
18°C
$1 交易量
16%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$5 交易量
35%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C
$36 交易量
9%
24°C
$32 交易量
16%
25°C
$22 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Paris minimum temperatures on August 5 most likely settling near 19–20 °C, driving the combined 63.5 % implied probability on those two bins. A broad high-pressure ridge is expected to promote radiational cooling under partly clear skies while limiting advection of cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in these variables can easily move the minimum between 18 °C and 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical Paris lows in this range, so current trader consensus largely reflects model agreement rather than an unusual signal. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next high-resolution guidance ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$160結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show Paris minimum temperatures on August 5 most likely settling near 19–20 °C, driving the combined 63.5 % implied probability on those two bins. A broad high-pressure ridge is expected to promote radiational cooling under partly clear skies while limiting advection of cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in these variables can easily move the minimum between 18 °C and 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical Paris lows in this range, so current trader consensus largely reflects model agreement rather than an unusual signal. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next high-resolution guidance ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$160結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from major centers show Paris minimum temperatures on August 5 most likely settling near 19–20 °C, driving the combined 63.5 % implied probability on those two bins. A broad high-pressure ridge is expected to promote radiational cooling under partly clear skies while limiting advection of cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; small shifts in these variables can easily move the minimum between 18 °C and 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical Paris lows in this range, so current trader consensus largely reflects model agreement rather than an unusual signal. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next high-resolution guidance ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions