Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS show modest spread for Paris maximum temperatures on August 5, with consensus clustering near 28–29 °C under lingering high pressure and limited Atlantic advection. This uncertainty, typical for a 48-hour horizon in summer, drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes while capping higher probabilities for 30 °C or above. Seasonal baselines place early-August Paris highs around 24–26 °C, so any persistence of the late-July warmth episode would favor the upper end of the current range; updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴黎最高溫度？
8月5日巴黎最高溫度？
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
16%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
24°C或以下
$3 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$3 交易量
5%
27°C
$3 交易量
14%
28°C
$9 交易量
33%
29°C
$9 交易量
34%
30°C
$28 交易量
16%
31°C
$13 交易量
14%
32°C
$3 交易量
9%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS show modest spread for Paris maximum temperatures on August 5, with consensus clustering near 28–29 °C under lingering high pressure and limited Atlantic advection. This uncertainty, typical for a 48-hour horizon in summer, drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes while capping higher probabilities for 30 °C or above. Seasonal baselines place early-August Paris highs around 24–26 °C, so any persistence of the late-July warmth episode would favor the upper end of the current range; updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS show modest spread for Paris maximum temperatures on August 5, with consensus clustering near 28–29 °C under lingering high pressure and limited Atlantic advection. This uncertainty, typical for a 48-hour horizon in summer, drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes while capping higher probabilities for 30 °C or above. Seasonal baselines place early-August Paris highs around 24–26 °C, so any persistence of the late-July warmth episode would favor the upper end of the current range; updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS show modest spread for Paris maximum temperatures on August 5, with consensus clustering near 28–29 °C under lingering high pressure and limited Atlantic advection. This uncertainty, typical for a 48-hour horizon in summer, drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes while capping higher probabilities for 30 °C or above. Seasonal baselines place early-August Paris highs around 24–26 °C, so any persistence of the late-July warmth episode would favor the upper end of the current range; updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions