Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate daily highs clustering near 35–37°C on August 5, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture that limits daytime radiative cooling while allowing modest convective activity. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited spread around these values because of stable steering patterns and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks, which tempers extreme heat buildup. The near-even market pricing among 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any showers able to nudge the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33–35°C, providing context that current conditions sit slightly above baseline but remain within normal summer variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日武漢氣溫最高?
36°C 25%
35°C 20%
37°C 20%
34°C 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
12%
35°C
20%
36°C
25%
37°C
20%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 25%
35°C 20%
37°C 20%
34°C 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
12%
35°C
20%
36°C
25%
37°C
20%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate daily highs clustering near 35–37°C on August 5, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture that limits daytime radiative cooling while allowing modest convective activity. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited spread around these values because of stable steering patterns and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks, which tempers extreme heat buildup. The near-even market pricing among 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any showers able to nudge the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33–35°C, providing context that current conditions sit slightly above baseline but remain within normal summer variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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