Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 27°C under typical August subtropical high-pressure patterns, with high humidity and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observational data confirm daytime highs of 35–36°C transitioning to these lows without significant frontal activity or model divergence. This consensus supports the market-implied 100% probability for 27°C as the day's lowest reading. A late-arriving cold surge or localized urban heat-island measurement variance could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic setup and proximity to day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日上海最低溫度？
8月4日上海最低溫度？
27°C 99.8%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,413 交易量
$25,413 交易量
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
27°C 99.8%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,413 交易量
$25,413 交易量
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
$764 交易量
否
22°C
$683 交易量
否
23°C
$989 交易量
否
24°C
$1,023 交易量
否
25°C
$4,134 交易量
否
26°C
$4,139 交易量
否
27°C
$7,721 交易量
是
28°C
$2,675 交易量
否
29°C
$2,536 交易量
否
30°C
$382 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$368 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 27°C under typical August subtropical high-pressure patterns, with high humidity and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observational data confirm daytime highs of 35–36°C transitioning to these lows without significant frontal activity or model divergence. This consensus supports the market-implied 100% probability for 27°C as the day's lowest reading. A late-arriving cold surge or localized urban heat-island measurement variance could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic setup and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$25,413結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 27°C under typical August subtropical high-pressure patterns, with high humidity and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observational data confirm daytime highs of 35–36°C transitioning to these lows without significant frontal activity or model divergence. This consensus supports the market-implied 100% probability for 27°C as the day's lowest reading. A late-arriving cold surge or localized urban heat-island measurement variance could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic setup and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,413結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 27°C under typical August subtropical high-pressure patterns, with high humidity and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observational data confirm daytime highs of 35–36°C transitioning to these lows without significant frontal activity or model divergence. This consensus supports the market-implied 100% probability for 27°C as the day's lowest reading. A late-arriving cold surge or localized urban heat-island measurement variance could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic setup and proximity to day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions