Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project a daily high of 30–31°C in Munich on August 27, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This stems from a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover, combined with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air masses. Ensemble model consensus supports modest daytime warming above late-August climatological averages of 23–25°C, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any frontal passage could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from European meteorological centers will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日慕尼黑最高溫度?
30°C 36%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
25%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
25%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project a daily high of 30–31°C in Munich on August 27, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This stems from a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover, combined with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air masses. Ensemble model consensus supports modest daytime warming above late-August climatological averages of 23–25°C, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any frontal passage could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours from European meteorological centers will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions