Current forecasts for Chengdu on August 25, 2026, center on highs near 34–36°C at the official Shuangliu station, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity and scattered monsoon moisture that can cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show modest spread due to steering patterns and potential afternoon showers, keeping the 35–36°C outcomes narrowly ahead in trader consensus while lower or higher readings remain plausible if convection strengthens or clears. Historical August data indicate occasional exceedances above 35°C amid regional warming trends, yet short-term updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria around exact maximum readings before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日成都最高溫度?
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
39°C 16%
37°C 15%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
21%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
9%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
6%
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
39°C 16%
37°C 15%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
21%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
9%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Chengdu on August 25, 2026, center on highs near 34–36°C at the official Shuangliu station, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity and scattered monsoon moisture that can cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show modest spread due to steering patterns and potential afternoon showers, keeping the 35–36°C outcomes narrowly ahead in trader consensus while lower or higher readings remain plausible if convection strengthens or clears. Historical August data indicate occasional exceedances above 35°C amid regional warming trends, yet short-term updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria around exact maximum readings before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions