Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chengdu on August 25, supported by model consensus showing light winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered cloud cover with possible light rain moderating radiative cooling overnight. Late-summer conditions following the Chushu solar term, combined with regional thunderstorm activity, have kept daytime highs elevated while preventing sharper nighttime drops below the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus aligns with these verified observations and short-range guidance, assigning the highest implied probability to 26°C while assigning minimal weight to cooler thresholds absent any abrupt frontal passage or model shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日成都最低溫？
8月25日成都最低溫？
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
$3,518 交易量
$3,518 交易量
2026-08-25
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
$3,518 交易量
$3,518 交易量
2026-08-25
20°C or below
$499 交易量
No
21°C
$330 交易量
No
22°C
$260 交易量
No
23°C
$154 交易量
No
24°C
$71 交易量
No
25°C
$81 交易量
No
26°C
$494 交易量
Yes
27°C
$326 交易量
No
28°C
$214 交易量
No
29°C
$814 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$275 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chengdu on August 25, supported by model consensus showing light winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered cloud cover with possible light rain moderating radiative cooling overnight. Late-summer conditions following the Chushu solar term, combined with regional thunderstorm activity, have kept daytime highs elevated while preventing sharper nighttime drops below the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus aligns with these verified observations and short-range guidance, assigning the highest implied probability to 26°C while assigning minimal weight to cooler thresholds absent any abrupt frontal passage or model shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,518結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chengdu on August 25, supported by model consensus showing light winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered cloud cover with possible light rain moderating radiative cooling overnight. Late-summer conditions following the Chushu solar term, combined with regional thunderstorm activity, have kept daytime highs elevated while preventing sharper nighttime drops below the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus aligns with these verified observations and short-range guidance, assigning the highest implied probability to 26°C while assigning minimal weight to cooler thresholds absent any abrupt frontal passage or model shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,518結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Chengdu on August 25, supported by model consensus showing light winds, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered cloud cover with possible light rain moderating radiative cooling overnight. Late-summer conditions following the Chushu solar term, combined with regional thunderstorm activity, have kept daytime highs elevated while preventing sharper nighttime drops below the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus aligns with these verified observations and short-range guidance, assigning the highest implied probability to 26°C while assigning minimal weight to cooler thresholds absent any abrupt frontal passage or model shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions