Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate maximum temperatures near 22–23°C for Munich on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, forming the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show modest uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud cover and potential warm-air advection from southern Europe, which can shift peak readings by 1°C depending on the exact timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Late-summer climatology places typical highs around 22–23°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while recent days saw 25°C on August 20 amid stronger southerly flow, highlighting how small synoptic adjustments influence the 22°C versus 23°C distinction. Traders monitor updated model consensus and German Weather Service observations ahead of resolution at the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月23日慕尼黑最高溫度？
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
21°C 12%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
42%
23°C
33%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
21°C 12%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
$234 交易量
<1%
17°C
$253 交易量
<1%
18°C
$106 交易量
1%
19°C
$58 交易量
1%
20°C
$58 交易量
5%
21°C
$361 交易量
12%
22°C
$153 交易量
42%
23°C
$294 交易量
33%
24°C
$185 交易量
9%
25°C
$65 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$19 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate maximum temperatures near 22–23°C for Munich on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, forming the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show modest uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud cover and potential warm-air advection from southern Europe, which can shift peak readings by 1°C depending on the exact timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Late-summer climatology places typical highs around 22–23°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while recent days saw 25°C on August 20 amid stronger southerly flow, highlighting how small synoptic adjustments influence the 22°C versus 23°C distinction. Traders monitor updated model consensus and German Weather Service observations ahead of resolution at the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,786結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate maximum temperatures near 22–23°C for Munich on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, forming the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show modest uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud cover and potential warm-air advection from southern Europe, which can shift peak readings by 1°C depending on the exact timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Late-summer climatology places typical highs around 22–23°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while recent days saw 25°C on August 20 amid stronger southerly flow, highlighting how small synoptic adjustments influence the 22°C versus 23°C distinction. Traders monitor updated model consensus and German Weather Service observations ahead of resolution at the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,786結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate maximum temperatures near 22–23°C for Munich on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, forming the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show modest uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud cover and potential warm-air advection from southern Europe, which can shift peak readings by 1°C depending on the exact timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. Late-summer climatology places typical highs around 22–23°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while recent days saw 25°C on August 20 amid stronger southerly flow, highlighting how small synoptic adjustments influence the 22°C versus 23°C distinction. Traders monitor updated model consensus and German Weather Service observations ahead of resolution at the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions