**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome.** This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the region, where average August highs reach 32–33°C amid high humidity, weak steering winds, and monsoon influences that limit rapid temperature swings. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to cap any upward spikes while preventing significant cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as extremes above 35°C or below 30°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts like typhoon passage. Trader positioning incorporates these stable patterns and the proximity to resolution, though minor forecast revisions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could still introduce limited uncertainty if convection intensifies unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日廣州最高溫度？
8月25日廣州最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,653 交易量
$44,653 交易量
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
33°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,653 交易量
$44,653 交易量
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
$198 交易量
<1%
26°C
$310 交易量
<1%
27°C
$898 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,466 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,166 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,830 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,450 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,097 交易量
<1%
33°C
$10,070 交易量
100%
34°C
$6,659 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$8,510 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome.** This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the region, where average August highs reach 32–33°C amid high humidity, weak steering winds, and monsoon influences that limit rapid temperature swings. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to cap any upward spikes while preventing significant cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as extremes above 35°C or below 30°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts like typhoon passage. Trader positioning incorporates these stable patterns and the proximity to resolution, though minor forecast revisions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could still introduce limited uncertainty if convection intensifies unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$44,653結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome.** This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the region, where average August highs reach 32–33°C amid high humidity, weak steering winds, and monsoon influences that limit rapid temperature swings. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to cap any upward spikes while preventing significant cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as extremes above 35°C or below 30°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts like typhoon passage. Trader positioning incorporates these stable patterns and the proximity to resolution, though minor forecast revisions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could still introduce limited uncertainty if convection intensifies unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,653結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official agencies points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome.** This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the region, where average August highs reach 32–33°C amid high humidity, weak steering winds, and monsoon influences that limit rapid temperature swings. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to cap any upward spikes while preventing significant cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as extremes above 35°C or below 30°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts like typhoon passage. Trader positioning incorporates these stable patterns and the proximity to resolution, though minor forecast revisions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could still introduce limited uncertainty if convection intensifies unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions