**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 25, project a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 27 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 27°C leads at 49% and 28°C follows at 32%, capturing the tight cluster of official guidance showing highs around 29°C at sites such as Atatürk Airport. Persistent Etesian winds and a gradual seasonal cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks support these outcomes, with low precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 28–29°C, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 27–29°C ahead of possible showers and a dip on the 28th. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key driver for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月27日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 50%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
50%
28°C
32%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
23°C or below
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
6%
26°C
$27 交易量
12%
27°C
$126 交易量
50%
28°C
$16 交易量
32%
29°C
$0 交易量
10%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 25, project a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 27 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 27°C leads at 49% and 28°C follows at 32%, capturing the tight cluster of official guidance showing highs around 29°C at sites such as Atatürk Airport. Persistent Etesian winds and a gradual seasonal cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks support these outcomes, with low precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 28–29°C, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 27–29°C ahead of possible showers and a dip on the 28th. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key driver for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$180結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 25, project a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 27 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 27°C leads at 49% and 28°C follows at 32%, capturing the tight cluster of official guidance showing highs around 29°C at sites such as Atatürk Airport. Persistent Etesian winds and a gradual seasonal cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks support these outcomes, with low precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 28–29°C, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 27–29°C ahead of possible showers and a dip on the 28th. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key driver for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$180結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 25, project a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 27 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 27°C leads at 49% and 28°C follows at 32%, capturing the tight cluster of official guidance showing highs around 29°C at sites such as Atatürk Airport. Persistent Etesian winds and a gradual seasonal cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks support these outcomes, with low precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 28–29°C, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 27–29°C ahead of possible showers and a dip on the 28th. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key driver for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions