Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日深圳最高溫度？
8月25日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 25%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 25%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$5 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$30 交易量
25%
32°C
$35 交易量
26%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$100 交易量
16%
35°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Shenzhen on August 25 are moderating daytime highs by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Official guidance and model runs cluster maxima near 30–32°C, with southerly flow advecting moist tropical air that curbs warming despite the late-summer subtropical setting. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for 31°C and 32°C stems from these factors, while slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread versus drier or more intense scenarios. Updated regional forecasts ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions